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Roma's opening-day puzzle: what the statistics reveal ahead of Fiorentina
·18 August 2026·3d ago

Roma's opening-day puzzle: what the statistics reveal ahead of Fiorentina

Source: Forza Roma

Roma host Fiorentina in their Serie A opener on 24 August at 20.45, with historical data and current form painting two different pictures of what to expect. The Giallorossi have drawn 29 opening matches in their Serie A history, a figure that may concern supporters. However, recent form offers encouragement: Roma have opened five consecutive seasons without defeat, including a 3–1 win over Fiorentina in 2021–22, a 1–0 victory against Bologna last season, and draws against Salernitana (0–1 away in 2022–23, 2–2 at home in 2023–24) and Cagliari (0–0 in 2024–25).

Bookmakers favour Roma as the stronger side in this opening fixture of the 2026–27 campaign, a reflection of current expectations rather than historical precedent. Gasperini's squad arrives at the Olimpico with positive indicators: the unbeaten run across five opening matches, a favourable head-to-head record against Fiorentina, and market confidence. The field will ultimately determine whether these encouraging statistics hold true when the season begins.

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Roma prepare for their Serie A opener against Fiorentina on August 24 at the Olimpico, with coach Gasperini's side arriving in confident form. Forza Roma highlights encouraging statistics: Roma have opened five consecutive seasons unbeaten and hold a favourable recent head-to-head record against Fiorentina, with bookmakers backing the Giallorossi as stronger contenders. However, the outlet notes historical data reveals Roma have drawn 29 opening matches in Serie A history, a potential concern. Il Romanista reports on Roma's final pre-season preparations, detailing a 2–2 draw against Borussia Dortmund in Germany. Paulo Dybala impressed with an early goal and assist for Bryan Cristante's header, though defensive vulnerabilities were exposed as Ryerson and Guirassy equalised for Dortmund. Il Romanista notes Wesley returns sidelined by a mild ankle sprain, while Lorenzo Pellegrini and Niccolò Pisilli were absent. The squad returns to Trigoria on Wednesday to prepare for Fiorentina, their first competitive test under Gasperini in his second season.

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Testo Originale / Source Text

Storicamente, la Roma ha collezionato ben 29 pareggi all’esordio nel massimo campionato di calcio italiano. Se questo dato potrebbe impensierire qualche tifoso, innescando timori di una partenza non tanto lanciata quanto ci si aspetterebbe, va detto che, in tempi recenti, i giallorossi hanno sempre…

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Roma will open their 2026-27 Serie A campaign against Fiorentina on Monday at 20:45 in the late fixture of matchday one at the Olimpico. The fixture is far from a new one: the two clubs have met in Serie A's opening match on 11 previous occasions, a record that stretches back to the 1934-35 season. Roma lost 4-1 away at Firenze in that first meeting, but won 4-0 at home three years later. The Giallorossi took a narrow home win in 1942-43, while Fiorentina levelled the score with a Tuscan victory in 1947-48. Two meetings between the late 1960s and early 1970s both went to Fiorentina, 2-1 at Rome in 1968-69 and 1-0 in 1970-71. After a 20-year gap, Roma won 4-0 at the Olimpico in 1990-91, and then 3-0 at home in 2004-05. The most recent openers between the sides came in 2014-15 and 2021-22, both won by Roma at the Olimpico. The first saw goals from Nainggolan and Gervinho in a 2-0 victory, while under Mourinho in 2021-22 Roma won 3-1, with Veretout scoring twice after early goals from Mkhitaryan and Milenkovic. The upcoming match will give Gasperini's squad their first competitive outing of the season.

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Paulo Dybala has stoked Roma's anticipation for the 2026–27 season with a message on Instagram ahead of the home fixture against Fiorentina on Monday 24 August at 20:45. The Argentine forward posted images from the 2–0 derby win on 17 May, writing: "The last home match, with desire to begin the same way." That victory saw Dybala play a starring role before Roma sealed Champions League qualification days later at Verona. The Olimpico is expected to be at full capacity as the giallorossi prepare for their season opener. Dybala enters his fifth season at the club in sharp condition following a high-level pre-season. Wearing number 21, he will be central to Roma's ambitions under head coach Gian Piero Gasperini as the campaign begins. The forward's public enthusiasm reflects the mood in the dressing room, where desire to replicate last season's closing surge is running high.

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