Milan hold tiebreaker advantage over Roma in Champions League race with two matches remaining
Serie A·11 May 2026·1d ago

Milan hold tiebreaker advantage over Roma in Champions League race with two matches remaining

Source: Il Messaggero – Roma

With two Serie A matches left to play, Milan and Roma sit level on points in fourth place in the race for Champions League qualification. Milan hold a decisive advantage in the head-to-head record: they won 1–0 at San Siro and drew 1–1 at the Olimpico. Under Serie A rules, this direct record becomes the primary tiebreaker if the teams finish with equal points, meaning Milan would finish ahead of Roma in that scenario without need for goal difference or other calculations.

Roma's position is more precarious than Milan's because of this tiebreaker disadvantage. Roma must face Lazio in the Derby della Capitale before travelling to Verona in the final match—two high-pressure fixtures. Milan's remaining schedule is comparatively straightforward, with away matches against Genoa and a home game against Cagliari. The psychological edge rests with Milan: they can afford to draw level with Roma and still secure the higher finish. Roma, by contrast, cannot simply match Milan's results; they must actually outscore them to guarantee Champions League football.

The article notes that both clubs could be overtaken by Como or Juventus depending on their results over the final two rounds, but the immediate calculation is clear: if Milan and Roma finish level, Milan advances.

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Testo Originale / Source Text

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3 Minuti di Lettura domenica 10 maggio 2026, 23:04 - Ultimo aggiornamento: 11 maggio, 22:58 Read in English Apericena - Newsletter Il punto sui temi di attualità, ogni lunedì Iscriviti e ricevi le notizie via email Con due giornate ancora da disputare, la corsa europea tra Milan e Roma entra nella sua fase decisiva. Le due squadre sono appaiate in classifica al quarto posto, ma il calendario e soprattutto gli scontri diretti già raccontano una storia precisa: in caso di arrivo a pari punti, sarebbe il Milan ad avere il vantaggio. Questo ovviamente al netto che restino entrambe in quarta posizione e che dunque non vengano scavalcate dal Como o non superino la Juve finendo terza e quarta. Milan e Roma, chi va in Champions se arrivano a pari punti? I rossoneri hanno infatti battuto la Roma 1-0 a San Siro, pareggiando poi 1-1 all’Olimpico. Un bilancio che consegna al Milan la superiorità negli scontri diretti, primo criterio utilizzato dalla Serie A per stabilire la classifica finale quando due squadre chiudono con gli stessi punti.Tradotto: se Milan e Roma dovessero terminare il campionato appaiate, davanti finirebbe il Milan. Senza spareggi, senza differenza reti generale, senza altri calcoli. Gli scontri diretti, in questo caso, bastano già a decidere tutto.Ed è un dettaglio che pesa enormemente sulle ultime due giornate. Il calendario Il calendario del Milan propone prima la trasferta contro il Genoa e poi la chiusura a San Siro contro il Cagliari. Due partite sulla carta abbordabili, nelle quali la squadra rossonera sa di avere un piccolo vantaggio psicologico: a parità di risultati con la Roma, sarebbe comunque davanti.Più delicato invece il finale della Roma. I giallorossi dovranno affrontare il derby contro la Lazio - una gara che spesso sfugge a ogni pronostico - prima della trasferta di Verona all’ultima giornata. Due sfide ad alta tensione, soprattutto considerando che la Roma non può permettersi di “fare gli stessi punti” del Milan: deve fare meglio.Ed è proprio questo l’aspetto che cambia completamente la prospettiva della volata finale. Il Milan può amministrare il margine invisibile garantito dagli scontri diretti; la Roma, invece, è obbligata all’inseguimento reale. Gli scenari Ogni scenario resta aperto, ma i conti sono già chiari. Se tra due settimane le due squadre dovessero guardarsi ancora negli occhi dalla stessa quota in classifica, sarebbe il Milan a festeggiare il piazzamento migliore. Perché in una corsa così corta, quel successo per 1-0 a San Siro oggi vale molto più di tre punti. © RIPRODUZIONE RISERVATA

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