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Champions League: how many points Roma need to reach the knockout play-offs and the top eight
·4 November 2026·2h ago

Champions League: how many points Roma need to reach the knockout play-offs and the top eight

Source: Forza Roma

Roma are halfway through their Champions League league phase with four points from four matches, and Gian Piero Gasperini's side must now start picking up results quickly. The return so far is a win over Slovan, a draw with Fenerbahçe and defeats to Real Madrid and Manchester United. Roma were ahead by two goals against Real and against United before late collapses cost them both games.

Roma have four matches left, and the article says the points needed to move beyond the play-off zone are still very much in reach. Teams finishing between 9th and 24th go into the play-offs, while the top eight qualify directly. Based on the last two editions, Roma could need around 11 or 12 points to secure at least a play-off place. In 2024/25 Club Brugge were the last team to qualify with 11 points, while in 2025/26 Benfica of José Mourinho went through with nine. The average across the two seasons is 10 points, but Gasperini would be wise to aim higher. Starting from four points, Roma need at least two wins and a draw to get close to that mark.

A top-eight finish has needed 16 points in each of the last two seasons, which would mean winning all four remaining matches. The remaining fixtures are Paris Saint-Germain, Sporting, AEK Athens and Lille. The trip to Paris is the toughest, and the article expects Roma to leave the Parc des Princes without points, though it says football is unpredictable and Roma could surprise. The three games after that are considered manageable, and two of them are at home, where the backing of the Olimpico will be decisive.

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Testo Originale / Source Text

“Metà percorso andato. La Roma si ritrova nel mezzo: quattro partite disputate, quattro ancora da affrontare. Il bicchiere, al momento, è mezzo vuoto. La sconfitta contro il Manchester fa ancora male. E come potrebbe non farlo. Come col Real, i giallorossi erano avanti di due. Poi l’ennesimo…”

Read the full article in Italian at Forza Roma.

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Roma led Manchester United at Old Trafford for 45 minutes and played outstandingly, but lost 3-2 after a controversial penalty and a late collapse. The article argues Roma were strong in the first half despite heavy absences, including a third-choice goalkeeper in goal and a squad less deep than United's. Roma scored two goals in that opening period and came close to a third. Gasperini's side then gradually lost the ability to play out from their own half once United raised their pressing, continuing with solutions that had worked in the first half. The article says Roma needed to change approach, accept some long balls, break the rhythm and accept that defending a lead does not mean abandoning their identity. Some reserves, the article states, have not yet shown the same reliability as the starters. It describes this as not a condemnation but an observation that becomes evident when a Champions League match suddenly changes intensity. Gasperini has built a competitive side, but not yet a squad able to maintain the same level through all of its substitutions. The article, however, says this cannot excuse what happened at the 55th minute. It describes the penalty Gil Manzano awarded for contact between Mancini and Cunha as a decision that leaves observers frankly astonished: a very light touch, an attacker who seems to lose his balance alone, and a referee pointing to the spot with a certainty inversely proportional to the foul. According to a rigorous technical assessment, the article says, the penalty should never have existed. On the retake, Cristante entered the area early and intervened on the rebound from Vasquez's save, which made the rule applicable. The article calls this the paradox: VAR intervened over a marginal infringement but did not correct the original decision. After Bruno Fernandes missed and Vasquez saved, the retake led to the goal that changed the match's momentum, and United regained enthusiasm as Old Trafford came alive. The article calls the handling of that episode scandalous, while stressing that this is not a search for an alibi. Gasperini referred to the usual "rigorini" (small penalties) but did not turn the post-match into a trial of the referee. The article suggests this restraint could be read in light of Roma's delicate relationship with UEFA, given the settlement agreement and the economic monitoring to which the club is subject, though it calls this an interpretation rather than a certainty. Such a low institutional profile would be understandable, the article says, but not necessarily agreeable. Roma need no theatrics, yet should not accept every decision passively; defending their case through the appropriate channels should be a normal form of protection. The article concludes that work must now focus on Trigoria and on what the pitch revealed: physical decline, the alternatives on the bench, the inability to manage certain moments, and the two goals conceded late that turned a prestigious win at a historically cursed ground into a painful defeat. Roma must learn not to be pegged back, it says, but must not get used to being refereed this way. These are two distinct problems, and both deserve an answer.

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